Dimitri Bianco
Dimitri Bianco
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Determinism is Wrong and It Matters in Quant Finance
As I have been working on a side project related to quantum mechanics, the concept of determinism has been coming up. To my surprise it seems a large portion of the physics community actually believes in it. This leads to the answer a subscriber asked whether physicists are better at quant finance than other fields of study. The truth is physics teaches you many useful skills for quantitative finance such as math, stats, and programming however finance is brutal and unforgiving. Many physicists have thought there is some sort of formula to solve quantitative finance such as unified theory. There is not and these individuals along with their firms go bankrupt.
Humans are not predictable and...
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Видео

Alexander Unterrainer on KDB
Просмотров 1 тыс.22 часа назад
A fun interview with Alexander Unterrainer on KDB and building careers in quantitative finance in London. I have heard a little about KDB over the years but have never used it. Today I sit down with Alexander to learn a bit more about it and how he has built a career on it. He has also been blogging for over a year on how to program in KDB which is also known as KDB or q. KDB Learning Blog: Def...
The Next Revolution in AI and ML
Просмотров 8 тыс.День назад
The next revolution in AI and ML is simplification of models. To get to this simplification, we need to do more math to get simpler structures. This is a combination of math and theory. Even from a current model development standpoint, most people fitting models overfit large models when smaller simpler models exist. AI is over bloated and leaning on the hardware too much. The real edge in tech...
2024 Fancy Quant Honorable Mentions
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These are some of the best quantitative finance masters programs in the world. All of these programs have good academic rigor and will prepare you for a job in quantitative finance. Carnegie Mellon University University of Michigan Stony Brook Fordham www.fancyquantnation.com/
CCAR Overview
Просмотров 2,1 тыс.21 день назад
CCAR stress testing came about from the Dodd Frank Act. In this video I explain the basics of what CCAR stress testing is, building models, and issues you may run into. Website: www.FancyQuantNation.com Support: ko-fi.com/fancyquant Quant t-shirts, mugs, and hoodies: www.teespring.com/stores/fancy-quant Connect with me: www.linkedin.com/in/dimitri-bianco DimitriBianco
Amazing Quant Conference
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Amazing Quant Conference
CS to Quant Finance
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How to Get a Job in Quant Finance 2024
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How to Get a Job in Quant Finance 2024
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Quants Don't Exist
Quant Research vs Model Development
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Unlocking the Secrets of Long Term Project Success: Ultimate Guide
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Turning Down Academia
DFW Mini Quant Conference: Call for Speakers
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More Bad Advice About Quants
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Idea - Dallas Quant Mini Conference
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What is a Stock?
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Princeton Conference 2024
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Maximizing Internship Experience
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Risk Management Compensation
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The Last Five Years: Quant Journey 30 to 35
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The Last Five Years: Quant Journey 30 to 35

Комментарии

  • @jakerichter3748
    @jakerichter3748 14 часов назад

    If you were studying quantum mechanics as a physicist you shouldn’t even be considering consciousness. No genuine effort to understand quantum mechanics is accompanied by claims about consciousness or determinism. You can spend time thinking about the latter using experimental evidence at the energy scales where quantum mechanics matters. But neither quantum mechanics nor any branch of physics makes a claim about determinism. We (physicists) are well aware of the limitations and assumptions in our models. It’s not the belief in determinism that motivates the development of simple models. Determinism is a reflection of the language we use. Science needs to be universal or it’s not a good science, so we use equations to describe our models and to calculate predictions. Determinism that is baked into physics is not a reflection of the scientists’ ability to think stochastically or model random processes. The argument you’re making is akin to “economists must be right winged because they study markets. They hold a fundamental set of beliefs in the efficacy of markets.” The parallel is that economists have to study markets. Just like scientists have to study deterministic equations. it’s absurd to suggest that economists must then hold philosophical beliefs and think a certain way their study, and even more absurd to believe these thoughts inhibit their ability to think differently. it is equally absurd to suppose that physicists think and believe a certain way. Your statements are far too generalized about such a broad field and presume too much about physicists’ lack of self-awareness on their own studies. This leads your arguments to be logically inconsistent and unclear. In response I’d argue that physicists are much more concerned about symmetries and patterns than they are on any philosophical debates or the deterministic forms of their equations. If you want to critique why a physicists way of thinking may not be useful for Quantitative finance it’d be much more useful to explain why the symmetries and patterns physicists look for are detrimental to development as a quant. This might be because these symmetries are unrealistic in most quant problems. Or that looking for or exploiting symmetries is a waste of time. Or, you could argue that pattern recognition isn’t important in quant finance. However, you’d have a hard time getting anywhere with any of the preceding arguments (except maybe the first).

  • @quantgeekery6358
    @quantgeekery6358 15 часов назад

    So...the determinism that underpinned Westworld was bullshit?

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 15 часов назад

      America was founded in the principle of free will. That's what set it apart when it became a country.

  • @TheAvenger2012
    @TheAvenger2012 17 часов назад

    There is some fields or sub-fields of physics that are stochastic also. But I don't know if you wanted to point out the opposition between determinism and stochasticity. NB : I am more a financial engineer and econometrician than a physicist. But those questions are fundamentals in the field of philosophy of sciences and epistemology.

  • @Oscar-zp6io
    @Oscar-zp6io 18 часов назад

    Lex Fridman has a good video about conciousness, from a physics perspective. I think the clip is called: consciousness is not a computation, with Roger Penrose

  • @JoelSemar
    @JoelSemar 19 часов назад

    First off just wanna say I love your channel and what you do here. The following points are intended with the utmost respect: 1.) You are arguing for the existence of something that cannot be measured in any way. You rely on the fact that "we don't know everything". Unfortunately, you can use the exact same method to support arguments for God, the Tooth Fairy, Unicorns, or whatever you want. In every way that matters, you basically describe consciousness as magic. Your only real basis here is that you "feel" like free will/consciousness exists. Well lots of folks "feel" like horoscopes are relevant. Furthermore, the burden of proof is on you, to show that something exists that we have not yet measured. 2.) Every single observable system that we have measured since the beginning of time has turned out to be deterministic. You clearly agree that deterministic systems exist. Tell me, how do you suppose a deterministic system can interact with a nondeterministic system? Or can they? What happens then? Is the result deterministic or nondeterministic? 3.) Less of a point just something I cannot let slide. "we don't know" is at the heart of real science. If scientists thought they knew everything, they would stop. Anyone who says otherwise, is not doing science. As another comment has said, you may have been exposed to some non-serious/unreliable/incompetent science. Additionally, science is not a static thing. It's better thought of as a process. We are constantly looking to invalidate or extend what we have found so far. In the meantime we must stand on what we have to the best of our knowledge at this point. (which can be immediately discarded tomorrow given new evidence). This is the fundamental scientific approach, and unfortunately at this time, neither consciousness nor free will are supported by it. 4.) And lastly just a funny quote i once heard on the topic to keep things light: "We have no choice but to believe in free will"

  • @AleksyLeonov
    @AleksyLeonov 19 часов назад

    I can recommend the RUclips channel PBS Space Time, really accessible videos on physics. They have whole series on quantum mechanics, string theory, cosmology, relativity etc. It is also explained by really going into the science, explaining some of the equations and giving strong intuition through visualizations. They also cover philosophical issues in physics and have videos on interpretations of quantum mechanics (the standard Copenhagen one is probabilistic but there exist deterministic ones) and things like the simulation hypothesis or determinism. They cover all topics very clearly and without the mystifying rhetoric that sometimes creeps in when well-known physicists like Penrose attempt to explain it in more laymen terms.

  • @dadsonworldwide3238
    @dadsonworldwide3238 20 часов назад

    If you determin simplicity and unification on top of your desk it does push infinite sums of complexity down upon the edges. They assume it and flip that in space. But thru refuse to accept anything but dualism symmetry can't be in their mind inspired by God to be legible and readable ..right off huge redflag It's only one fundamental feature in our reality that tunes all precision instruments. Deaf dumb and blind you can get on your knees pick up 3 stones grind them together and locate eqaulibrium the only deterministic true standardization now you can build longitude and latitude. You rebuild by for thru = saved But grand unified theory flips it into probable spaces yoo hoo woo old world macro to micro atomized dualism over top of platonic solids.. Moral law and economic is based on.the 3 lines of measure/ stand . Curses and blessings standardized weights and measure Prayer logic whataboutism ( Socrates style ,Abraham, Richard finneman) Cursed rationalism reductionism Blessed common sense inheritance = Objectivism proper Same deterministic feature in reality itself

  • @dadsonworldwide3238
    @dadsonworldwide3238 20 часов назад

    To be clear you can detect my free will inertia on the frame of reference. The debate Is on soul agency driver of free will. Founders chose the compromise between catholic, Luther and evangelical.. Manmade time hierarchy knowledge of good evil equations. Or environment dictates who you are govern by extreme physical lawisms babylonian Eternal cosmos correlated with eternal cosmos spirit of God hovering over the waters of deep nature building breathe of life giving emerging energetic actors (1 atoms / individuals 2 lattus structure and body personal actors free will inertia 3 frame of reference critical extreme states or environment 😊 They take 3 body problems where we take 3 lines of measure = truest True known standard flattest surface most balanced eqaulibrium we tune all precision instruments. Deny the fact gravity is not idealism & physicalism and definitely subjective properties to scale. .emerging or not its as subjective as hamiltonian occelating waves and feilds correlated with idealized time. You take grand unified view it is 1st pos newton 2nd einstein 3rd hiesenbergs approach photon balances out but anymore or less it's whataboutism & nilhisms. Curses or prayer logic Socrates uncertainty..Same problem hindu class systems follow..physical mystification same as we see In mass sychosis breaks or cogs in the wheel wokism.. 9:07 with that Is also textualism methodology excersize = objectivism proper discovery that quantom physics and mosaic commandments kinda follow z - y the ✝️. Duslism babylonian evolutionary model flips that into top down entangled controdidiction. But you can build x horizontal axis the ✝️ to scale. Methusela equation. Spherical scales like solar system then on multi verse galaxies the emerging of gravity is greater than .

  • @t4s84
    @t4s84 20 часов назад

    Dimitri, I appreciate your deep dive here into more fundamental issues. It's something I have been thinking and studying about for some time too. My two cents: I don't think there is a need to enter "consciousness" into the equation to invalidate determinism in finance. The simple weather forecast is also effectively "indeterminate" for time spans longer than a few weeks or so, and that can be mathematically proven.

  • @ishaankarmakar6297
    @ishaankarmakar6297 21 час назад

    Great, can you help me, I'm a Data Analyst and would like to become a financial data analyst, how should I do that?

  • @goodlack9093
    @goodlack9093 23 часа назад

    Totally appreciate this video! It's good to hear this point. It's a good reminder that we do not know it all. And anyone who thinks they do ,...well they are fools

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 21 час назад

      Thanks! That was one of the main goals of this video. Often there isn't a simple clear solution. And since things, we'll never know.

  • @williamxion2806
    @williamxion2806 23 часа назад

    hi dimitri, i was just wondering what kind of math do you think we will need in the next phase of ai/ml after this generative ai bubble/hype phase passes?

  • @hansbleuer3346
    @hansbleuer3346 23 часа назад

    Globaler Determinismus versus Lokaler Nondeterminismus? Wenn man Gott auf die Schliche kommt, findet man dann Löcherin in der Welt des Random Walks?

  • @FinianAllen4
    @FinianAllen4 День назад

    what being in quant does to a mf

  • @user-cu9ww9tj4i
    @user-cu9ww9tj4i День назад

    우리가 매우 매우 강력한 수학모델과 컴퓨터가 있으면 일기예보를 정확하게 하겠죠.

  • @jasdeepsinghgrover2470
    @jasdeepsinghgrover2470 День назад

    Determinism isn't Wrong but relative! This is a very different but still interesting video... BTW I come from a similar background but in Sikhism in India ... I think the question isn't that hard as long as we understand perspectives well... From the perspective of a child he/she is taking their own decisions but parents anticipate it and protect the child. If parents give options to their children then the child feels he/she has free will but the parents know what the child is going to select. Now if we assume God as omnipresent, omniscient and almighty then from his/her(God is not a human) perspective everything is deterministic but from the perspective of any agent with limited knowledge, resources, and time, nothing is deterministic. Simultaneously, I am an agent and I care about the scale that matters to me. Maybe weeks or months but not centuries, meters and feet but not microns or light years, Newtonian stuff but not relativity or quantum(unless running something affected by them). So the simplest way to account for what I can't control/know is calling it noise/error/randomness and hoping it follows certain assumptions. The question in risk and finance I believe is how much do you trust the assumption, and what are you ready to put at stake? As a child I will select my favorite birthday presents and so will my siblings but my parents (God/universe as a whole) will always know it. Similar Reference: Incerto by NN Taleb

    • @jasdeepsinghgrover2470
      @jasdeepsinghgrover2470 День назад

      A similar example by NN Taleb. The poultry farm owner knows what's going to happen with the chicken but from the chicken's perspective the farm owner is the provider for everything.

  • @davidebufalini
    @davidebufalini День назад

    Dimitri, this video made me "sad" for various reasons. First, let me say that I have been in physics for 10 years (currently working as a Quant, or at least trying to do my best) and have a PhD in String Theory, so I might be hopefully more competent than the average person commenting on physics and how physics works. Second, I am here to create a constructive conversation, please do not take it personally, and I would be more than happy to discuss any of the points below further privately. Third, the reason why I spend time writing this comment is because I love scientific outreach, and I hate misinformation, and I hope that your followers (and you) can somehow benefit from this comment. I also follow your channel quite closely, and discovering certain "aspects" behind your claims really surprises me. However, I want and feel to contribute somehow. Please, please, please, don't take it personally. This video made me sad mostly for two reasons: 1. You must have spoken or heard things from non-serious/reliable/incompetent physicists. Some physicists are really damaging the impression that people can have on physics. 2. (apologies for being so brutally direct and I hope this is not perceived as an attack) You seem to express a seriously uninformed opinion on physics, with a harsh tone that I don't really like and was not really expecting from your videos (I probably had wrong impressions, and it is my bad, not yours). 1) Let me address the first point. Why the "others" (not you) made me sad. No serious/competent/informed physicist thinks that "we know everything" and (paraphrasing) that "determinism is the way" etc etc. We don't. Being a good physicist/researcher means being humble. Every time one studies or works in physics, one understands how amazing nature is and how little we know about the universe we live in, which is exactly in line with what you say in the video. Also, it should be clear to all physicists that quantum mechanics killed determinism (within certain regimes of validity). Sadly, there are "physicists" out there who sound arrogant saying that "we know how things work". This is extremely sad. 2) Let me address the second point on incorrect statements. - At 04:06 you say "Particles create a space". No. They don't. Within the validity of quantum field theory, particles are excitations of quantum fields. Within certain energy regimes, one can say that quantum fields permeate the universe and their excitations propagate according to particle-like behaviour and/or waves. You always forgot to mention the wave aspect: say, a Klein-Gordon field obeys a wave equation. In a semi-classical settings (valid for energies much smaller than the Planck mass) and ignoring the backreaction of particles on the background, most of the low-energy physics can be successfully described as "particles propagating on a fixed background", hence particles DO NOT create space. Your claim becomes more correct if you argue that "spacetime could be a coherent superposition of gravitons", but I am sure this is not what you meant. - At 05:00 you say "Big bang is blasting out through space". No. As far as we know, the Big Bang corresponds to the process of creation of both space and time itself, according to the most recent/modern cosmological theories which agree to experiments (up to certain regimes of validity). No serious physicist thinks that the Big Bang happened "somewhere". - Around 05:08 you comment on how things ended up where they are according to deterministic laws. No. No serious physicist thinks this, as clearly shown by the anisotropies of the cosmic microwave background. This non-uniformity is likely due to quantum effects in the initial wave function of the universe (whatever that was) and is NOT deterministic by any means. I appreciate your sceptical approach though, it is nice that you have doubts about certain claims: this is what serious research should always do. - 08:03 You define string theory as a non-sensical chase. This really makes absolutely no sense, and you should not make claims on things you do not understand. Have ever studied string theory or are you taking an uninformed stance taken from some random person on RUclips or online? Do you understand why researchers like Witten (the only physicist who is a Fields medalist, btw) or Maldacena or thousands of people spend their lives on String Theory? Have you ever considered reading the paper where the quark-gluon viscosity/entropy ratio experimentally observed has been reproduced using holography from the N=4 super-Yang Mills? Have you ever considered understanding that Einstein equations (yes, Einstein equations) naturally emerge from the string worldsheet once you impose conformal invariance as gauge symmetry? Have you ever heard of the amazing result of Vafa and Strominger about reproducing the Bekenstein-Hawking entropy for some (simple models of) black holes by counting D-branes and string configuration? (More complicated/realistic black holes have been considered later on). Also, do you know that SERIOUS string theories openly say that string theory could NOT be the ultimate theory and that they are totally fine with it? No serious researcher I ever met said "Yes string theory is the ultimate theory". This was maybe 30 years ago with some people getting too over-excited, but this is not the way people think anymore. Please, Dimitri, do not fall into this trap, inform yourself before claiming such stuff that others could potentially absorb. I keep this point short, but I could go on forever. - 08:41. Please do not call the "physics attitude" the one where you know everything. Please, call it like "ignorant attitude". Again, no serious physicist thinks to know everything. Please don't spread the misinformation. I have personally spent enough time speaking to (for instance) Maldacena (and others) to appreciate how humble he is despite being a top theoretical physicist. Ignore the vast majority of people ranting nonsense online, the serious physicists fortunately/unfortunately are too busy doing proper research. I do not comment on consciousness because I don't have an informed opinion and I leave this to experts. People who are so attached to determinism have not really spent enough time thinking about the Fokker-Planck equation, quantum mechanics of quantum field theory, the cosmic microwave background, emergent phenomena in physics, dynamical systems, and probably have not read Derman's book and learnt about his warnings when comes to finance. Again, take the above as constructive criticism. I hope readers can benefit from the above. All of us should stay humble. All of us should acknowledge our ignorance and insignificance. We are just trying to do our best, and that's it. Nature (and finance!) is much more complicated than we all think, let's remain humble!

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco День назад

      I appreciate the well thought out points. These provide me new ideas to think about. I wish there was more of this in depth discussion and points on RUclips and the internet. You are correct that not all and perhaps not many physicists are arrogant in knowing everything unfortunately most on the internet are. This holds true for finance and quant finance as well which you can see in the comments here. Given your position, what are your thoughts on Roger Penrose and Eric Weinstein? Both seem to disagree with string theory. While the theory is complex and there are a lot of details it doesn't seem like strong conclusions have been made.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco День назад

      If you want to come on the podcast and chat, let me know.

    • @davidebufalini
      @davidebufalini День назад

      @@DimitriBianco Thank you for assuming a constructive approach! Not many have your ability and this makes everything much more enjoyable. In 10 years I have never heard of Weinstein, I will check! Thank you! I had the luck to have a conversation with Penrose exactly about string theory and black holes in November 2021. He is obviously amazing and has incredible physics knowledge. However, when I started mentioning "3- or 4-charge black holes" and similar (which are some kind of simplified/toy models people use in string theory to study black holes) he was not really following and understanding. The impression I got from our conversation is that he is "lagging behind" in research when comes to string theory, which has never been his field of expertise. He has been an amazing physicist and undoubtedly deserves the Nobel for his works on geodesic incompleteness in General Relativity. However, I would take his words on string theory with relatively high levels of scepticism: it has never been his field, but of course criticisms are always accepted and welcome when appropriate and when coming from such a great mind. Let me add that we all know that string theory has serious problems (i.e. we do not know the theory itself in various regimes, researchers are still trying to find a meta-stable non-susy vacuum from D3-branes and Calabi-Yau/Kahler compactifications reproducing the Standard Model, or constructing a 4D Kerr-black hole from stringy ingredients, to name 3 issues out of hundreds) and constructive criticisms are like gold, but is an incredibly rich and unreasonably effective theory. String theory seems strangely consistent and strangely effective, even math theorems can be proven/reproduced using string theory. It is currently the best we have, but does not mean is the right theory. Let's see!

    • @repath1
      @repath1 23 часа назад

      i don't disagree with SUSY or string theory but to me it just seems like philosophical fluff that's not really physics. to me it's just math deluding as physical implications when it has no physical implications at all that are experimentable. like, "every fermion has a bosonic superpartner and this solves so many issues in GUT and is super profound!" well, a lot of people can come up with super profound physical theories that solve modern day problems when they have the freedom of math. it's experiments that constrain things to correct, useful, theories of nature and these people have absolutely nothing there so seems like a waste of time.

    • @stevves4647
      @stevves4647 20 часов назад

      @@davidebufalini I don't think the mathematical consistency, effectiveness or 'beauty' of string theory is neccesarily an argument for it (or against it either). The famous and undoubtely accomplished Kelvin had theorized that atoms were Knots, now we know that atoms are not Knots however it produced an incredibly rich field of mathematics that today we know as Knot Theory, which is still being researched today. I like what Sabine Hossenfelder has to say, the mathematics of the universe doesn't have to be beautiful.

  • @user-wd5mn4bi4o
    @user-wd5mn4bi4o День назад

    I love your channel!!!

  • @sellbythebell
    @sellbythebell День назад

    No wonder I clicked with your mindset... That LDS upbringing. 😂

  • @Wh4tarethings
    @Wh4tarethings День назад

    Hey, I focused on physical chemistry during my undergraduate studies and am currently pursuing a master's in economics. It will be hard to find papers directly addressing your points, as they touch on very old philosophical questions about the nature of subject and object and their relationship to each other. To avoid getting too off-topic: Firstly, quantum mechanics describes particles using wavefunctions, which are probability distributions. Thus, real-world outcomes are not deterministic if you look only at singular outcomes. A relevant experiment is the double-slit experiment: if you "shoot" electrons through the slits, the electrons hit different places each time. However, if you shoot a large number of electrons, an interference pattern emerges. This shows that even with randomness, somewhat determined outcomes can still occur, so randomness and determinism are not mutually exclusive. Secondly, regarding consciousness: if we assume that quantum effects in our brain influence "us," it could still be the case that a person might "randomly" choose. However, the decisions of many humans can be somewhat predictable.

  • @minymaker
    @minymaker День назад

    Becoming a real quant is realizing Dimitri is on crack

  • @juancassinerio1580
    @juancassinerio1580 День назад

    I am a physicist. I think consiousness is just a reaction to an action. As a piece of iron rust to oxygen, we say "hello" to another person saying hy. There is a black box in the middle that from every set of inputs produce an output.

    • @goodlack9093
      @goodlack9093 23 часа назад

      but do we know how this box works? I assume no, we don't. And the fact that it is deterministic is our assumption, no?

    • @Ventryx
      @Ventryx 13 часов назад

      And why on earth do you believe this.

  • @vokoaxecer
    @vokoaxecer День назад

    human consciousness could be an illusion?

    • @goodlack9093
      @goodlack9093 23 часа назад

      it could be ..it could be not. it could be something simpler or more complex but we don't know now do we?

    • @ireneuszpyc6684
      @ireneuszpyc6684 19 часов назад

      @@goodlack9093 consciousness is on a spectrum: apes have some, humans have more

    • @ireneuszpyc6684
      @ireneuszpyc6684 19 часов назад

      @@goodlack9093 monkeys know that humans are not monkeys

  • @ngnxtan
    @ngnxtan День назад

    I am not a physicist, but I think there are 2 problems here: 1. We have yet to agree upon a clear definition of what freewill/conciousness is. In the philosophical community, those who believe in determinism basically define freewill in a way that show why freewill is not possible. At the same time, those who believe freewill is a thing define it in a way that it is very plausible for it to exist. So for the sake of clarity, it would be better if you provide your definition of what 'freewill' is, just so that your definition of 'freewill' is the same as the 'freewill' the physicists are talking about. 2. It is hard to say that freewill exist while at the same time saying that it is immeasurable, if something exist, it is measurable in someway, or at the very least, I cannot think of an example where sthing exist without it being measurable.

    • @richardpogoson
      @richardpogoson День назад

      just to add my two cents regarding (1), a majority of philosophers hold to some sort of middle ground - compatibilism, where free will and determinism are said to be compatible, but you're very correct that compatibility will depend on what definitions of free will and determinism you are using

    • @jdubruyn
      @jdubruyn День назад

      Got an idea the last two weeks that free will is really freedom of choice(i trade options let just say that..)🤣(Choice vs having 'options' vs free will(to choose)...) How free will may be an illusion just like so many people's reality is... lol(most of us if not all of us to be honest)... Freedom of choice* (however) IS infinite and thus 'free'... Our will can not comprehend all alternatives so its not really free* in the first place and free/will itself is created by physics... which we do not control in full so it wont be 'our' will in the pure sense exerting any kind of independent(free) will. The laws of nature whether influenced by God or any other cosmological forces are the deterministic realities. Similar co-incidence problem in A.I... I told the SEC channel on a comment which they subsequently hid, that it's my belief that intelligence can not really be intelligent if it is artificial(artificial intelligence is kind of a paradoxical statement to confuse normal people in my opinion - compute is not intelligence even though it resembles it...), and they need to mitigate the potential catastrophic effects this may have on the markets... Our consciousness may not reside in our will per se... as a trader it is only possible to succeed if our 'ego's' learn to 'let go' of it's 'will'/anyhow... It's a complicated topic that borders on insanity really... One I dont think I'm smart enough to cope with right now👀

    • @ngnxtan
      @ngnxtan День назад

      @@richardpogoson yeah, you are correct, the current debate is more about compatibilism vs incompatibilism, not of freewill vs determinism.

    • @jasdeepsinghgrover2470
      @jasdeepsinghgrover2470 23 часа назад

      In my perspective intelligence/freewill/independence is the same as blindness and many philosophical ideas will keep changing their meaning according to what we call "intelligent". Let me give a simple example, earlier we used to consider rule based agents as intelligent but we were blind to the rules, now we would say ChatGPT is intelligent but as soon as someone says its a probabilistic LLM with conditional distributions we don't call it intelligent. Similarly, we might call any agent/model intelligent until we know it's sources of reasoning and information which we have already determined as not intelligent. As long as those sources are hidden the model is intelligent. I fear the day someone actually tells how exactly the brain works. Then, humans will be the same as objects.

    • @jdubruyn
      @jdubruyn 23 часа назад

      @@jasdeepsinghgrover2470 Got the same idea about people and not science* telling us... we are 'just' stardust. Even then I will still believe* I serve the God who created the stars*... for me he's Jesus ✌ 💙

  • @nischaylando4132
    @nischaylando4132 2 дня назад

    Why are stock exchanges not fair?

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 2 дня назад

      I'm not sure if the outcome but look up Haim Bodek lawsuit. There was even a book by him on the issue. Essentially markets aren't just who is fast but preference was being given to larger players like Citadel. If it was fair, size wouldn't matter.

    • @ZalexMusic
      @ZalexMusic День назад

      PFOF

  • @juancassinerio1580
    @juancassinerio1580 2 дня назад

    I want to thank you, Dimitri, for the videos and all the information about the quant career you share on your RUclips channel. Today, I got a new job as a Quantitative Analyst. Thanks for all the info; it helped me pursue this career that I once thought was out of reach.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 2 дня назад

      Thank you for the feedback! I'm happy to hear the videos have been helpful.

  • @scottlanigan
    @scottlanigan 2 дня назад

    Great video! Would you still recommend the books linked in the bio for learning more about ergodic theory? I've been reading a lot of Taleb, Peters, and others but would like the definitive "go-to" book on this.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 2 дня назад

      It depends on your background. I still like Einsiedler and Ward's book however it can be challenging to digest without a strong math background. I still have to look up other ideas as I have read through the book (I am not a mathematician by academic training).

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 2 дня назад

      I also have not read Taleb or Peters so I can't really compare.

    • @scottlanigan
      @scottlanigan 2 дня назад

      @@DimitriBianco Thanks!

  • @ultronix764
    @ultronix764 3 дня назад

    lol the irony is this script was generated by an ai lol😂

  • @MatthewVenzie
    @MatthewVenzie 3 дня назад

    Hey Dimitri, this doesn’t really have anything to do with the video but I really enjoy and find your videos helpful and have watched many of them. I am currently doing an undergrad in both applied mathematics and a second degree in statistics. I’m thinking of dropping the statistics undergrad because I feel much more passionate about mathematics. I want to be a quant model developer and I just want to know how possible it is for me to go from a PhD in applied mathematics to quant model development. I am also curious as to how much statistics I would need to learn if I were coming from an applied mathematics PhD. Thank you for all your videos they have been very helpful in understanding quants and if there’s any videos of yours or articles that you would recommend to help me that would be amazing, thank you so much!!

  • @lazizaakramova8602
    @lazizaakramova8602 3 дня назад

    Can I ask please. My major is Banking and Audit. I had some courses related to Math: higher mathematics 1. higher mathematics 2, Statistics, Econometrics (two semeters). Are they enough? Also if you have certificates of the other universities courses in Math, can they help me to meet this requirement of the provided list of Math courses?

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 3 дня назад

      Universities will require you have taken their pre-requisites at another university and be specific courses. For example, if econometrics covers some of the topics of ODE, most schools won't accept that if you haven't taken a course called, ODE.

  • @RM_Trade_Co
    @RM_Trade_Co 3 дня назад

    Legend

  • @xormul
    @xormul 4 дня назад

    In most cases the world of finance, software engineering, (...) is too complex to be independent quant trader.

  • @simisilekunene9687
    @simisilekunene9687 4 дня назад

    Africa (as a continent) contributes less than 3% to carbon emission, why would they have to be taxed on Carbon emission?

  • @Iamine1981
    @Iamine1981 5 дней назад

    I was most recently in a role where we were outright told by the Senior Management that replicating models is a NO/NO. Most of the validation focus was spent on cosmetic aspects such as writing nicely presented reports, and being finnicky with the words. Each validation section read more like a novel than actual quantitative findings with supporting evidence. Needless to say many in my team did not understand the basics of our Production Model, the theory behind it, nor its internal implementation structure within the firm. As a consequence, clear and well-targeted tests could not be developed/streamlined into an automated framework for re-usability. This was by far the most soul sucking role I have ever had in Model Validation.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 5 дней назад

      I had the same experience when we had a leadership change. I gave it a year and then left.

    • @Iamine1981
      @Iamine1981 3 дня назад

      @@DimitriBianco In your experience as a model validator, would you say a lot of the work was on replicating Production models in order to have an alternative to benchmark against, or were you also forced in practice to rely on the suite of "tests" provided to you by the Model Owner/Developer? I found such tests to be unsuitable as they were cherry-picked to specifically make sure they didn't address the weaknesses of the model. Another major issue is how to raise challenges to models without having the Owner push back in a non-collaborative fashion. Appreciate the content of your channel by the way, as you address many valid points about the day-to-day life of Model Validation.

  • @alvarojneto
    @alvarojneto 5 дней назад

    You dismissed the impact that quantum computing will have as a "know-it-all" blackbox, which, fair, nothing will ever know everything. But is there no threat of a small set of quantum computers knowing everything relevant enough - and fast enough - to squeeze out all competition - including new quantum computing entrants?

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 5 дней назад

      No there will never be a computer or model good enough to predict humans. By nature humans are fairly unpredictable.

    • @ireneuszpyc6684
      @ireneuszpyc6684 5 дней назад

      never good enough to predict any seriously complex system, like a civilisation or weather

  • @victorquirola7277
    @victorquirola7277 5 дней назад

    This was nice! Keep doing this types of videos, a little technical , good explanation and not long! Thank you!

  • @jasdeepsinghgrover2470
    @jasdeepsinghgrover2470 5 дней назад

    I have followed some of the discussions about KDB especially the one by CMU Databases group. I think more people should be made aware of these technologies especially because many MS programs don't even mention it. At least not in CS ones.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 5 дней назад

      I don't know of any quant finance masters teaching it either.

    • @jasdeepsinghgrover2470
      @jasdeepsinghgrover2470 5 дней назад

      Exactly! I used this video from CMU. They go into much more detail on how KDB works: ruclips.net/video/AiGdfmxEP68/видео.htmlsi=TApfU2C-D4cPk2km

    • @alexanderunterrainer1183
      @alexanderunterrainer1183 5 дней назад

      @@jasdeepsinghgrover2470 CMU is indeed one of the few universities that covers KDB to some extend

  • @panoslampsas5674
    @panoslampsas5674 5 дней назад

    Hi Dimitri, What do you think about the QCF program at Georgia Tech?

  • @valunanawat7145
    @valunanawat7145 5 дней назад

    Hi Dimitri, do you know any companies hire KDB developers in India or UAE?

    • @alexanderunterrainer1183
      @alexanderunterrainer1183 5 дней назад

      @valunanawat7145 there are investment banks that have offices in India and they do have KDB roles. UAE is still up and coming so there is very little KDB at the moment

  • @onwrdandupwrd5303
    @onwrdandupwrd5303 5 дней назад

    was this made via zoom call?

  • @michaelmraz2707
    @michaelmraz2707 5 дней назад

    You know nothing about high finance

    • @AllemandInstable
      @AllemandInstable 5 дней назад

      maybe you could provide details about that statement then

    • @michaelmraz2707
      @michaelmraz2707 5 дней назад

      @@AllemandInstable he knows nothing more than just use stats and algorithm to do day trading like degenerates. Only RenTech is credible in this space. However, High finance is much more than that. And it involves trillions of dollars of investments vs billions of daytrading with a net of probably just few millions or big losses.

    • @michaelmraz2707
      @michaelmraz2707 5 дней назад

      @@AllemandInstable did my comment just got deleted lol

    • @AllemandInstable
      @AllemandInstable 5 дней назад

      @@michaelmraz2707 ?

    • @ireneuszpyc6684
      @ireneuszpyc6684 5 дней назад

      “comments deleted” - sometimes RUclips is glitchy

  • @WhatupNab
    @WhatupNab 6 дней назад

    Hey Dimitri! I just came across your channel and as someone trying to break into this field your videos are super in depth and informative! I’m currently a 3rd year in my university studying CS major (debating between math and fintech minor) and I’m going to do my masters in FE afterwards. Do you have any advice for someone like me? No worries if not! Your videos are amazing help and I am constantly learning more! Great interview!

  • @quaereverum3871
    @quaereverum3871 6 дней назад

    10:01 Yes you can vectorise operations in Python, unsure why that would cause any frustration. Pandas (and PySpark for distributed computing) have built-in functionality to support this. Similarly, Numpy has np.applyalongaxis.

    • @jasdeepsinghgrover2470
      @jasdeepsinghgrover2470 5 дней назад

      Your right numpy and pandas do support vectorized operations and are quite efficient but both are limited to in memory stores. Even PySpark can do it but the MapReduce implementation is fast only if Dataframes are well structured and we need special stream operations. Spark and Dask are generally built for batch processing. Watch the detailed analysis by CMU. It is quite insightful: ruclips.net/video/AiGdfmxEP68/видео.htmlsi=TApfU2C-D4cPk2km

    • @quaereverum3871
      @quaereverum3871 5 дней назад

      @@jasdeepsinghgrover2470 Yes I wasn't arguing that Python is on-par with kdb. I was responding to some frustrations mentioned by Dimitri when transitioning from SAS to Python. Anyway, seems like a good resource you linked, thanks.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 5 дней назад

      As an example from yesterday, I need to add (math summation) two tables. Pandas only supports it without a unique index through the "add()" function. The solution, convert to a numpy array then add them, then convert back to pandas dataframe and then re-append the unique index. Can Python do vectorized work? Yes. Is it efficient in writing vector code and running those operations, not really. Python can do many things which is the advantage however it is such a generalized language it is not great at many things. As Alexander pointed out as well, vectorized languages change the way you think about solving problems. This is a pro and a con depending on the work you are doing. I came from C++ where I was wanting to write loops however when I moved into SAS it doesn't really support it. I had to change the way I thought about problems.

    • @quaereverum3871
      @quaereverum3871 5 дней назад

      @@DimitriBianco I have to disagree, at least based on the example you gave. You just do table1 + table2.values, couldn't be simpler. Python isn't the best language for anything, inherently, of course. It's a wrapper language for wrapping C++ libraries like Numpy, Pandas and Torch. Each of those is, by design, very good for vectorised computations. And those suffice for most kinds of analytics. For real-time analytics for time series, however, Python isn't the way to go, but that wasn't my point.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 5 дней назад

      @@quaereverum3871 unfortunately that doesn't work when you have a non-numeric index (you can't simply do table1 + table2). Here is a glimpse at the issue from another post though they don't get into the details of index requirements. stackoverflow.com/questions/26221300/nan-values-when-new-column-added-to-pandas-dataframe To your point, yes Python can do time-series. The only point I was making in the video is it isn't efficient (which is a relative term).

  • @visunashokkumar1782
    @visunashokkumar1782 6 дней назад

    I was deciding and narrowing down the topic for my PHD and this sort of resonates with me.

  • @visunashokkumar1782
    @visunashokkumar1782 6 дней назад

    Iv been following both for 3 years now... what a conversation

  • @musicarroll
    @musicarroll 6 дней назад

    AI tools may level the playing field for average performance, but you're absolutely right that that won't create barriers to entry like sophisticated math can do. Think Jim Simons.

  • @Jordan-tv9we
    @Jordan-tv9we 6 дней назад

    "No, it's not going to be the tech industry." I laughed so hard. This is so true. Subscribed for a long time, always love your explanations on this stuff!

  • @nicholasdaskalovic4163
    @nicholasdaskalovic4163 6 дней назад

    Hey, what are your thought on Quantum computing generally and possibly for finance? Most people I talk to in industry dismiss it as it's not coming any time soon but as a MS comp sci student I find it fascinating.

    • @DimitriBianco
      @DimitriBianco 5 дней назад

      Yes there is work being done on quantum computing. Some firms are getting closer than others. I'm actually reading an interesting book right now on market making with quantum computing. It explains why stochastic processes don't work well and how a quantum framework works better. The is fairly expensive and quite small but it called, "Quantum Markets". The company FMI Technologies actually presented at the conference I just held. Here is a link to the book if you are interested (affiliate link). amzn.to/45Gtj12

  • @FinianAllen4
    @FinianAllen4 7 дней назад

    Hey Dimitri, as someone about to start college and who is interested in the field of quant finance, thank you for your perspective always

  • @daymaker_algo
    @daymaker_algo 7 дней назад

    Thank you, very interesting!